دانلود کتاب Thinking in Bets 2018

Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke explores decision-making under uncertainty, drawing on her experience as a professional poker player. Duke argues that most decisions in life, like in poker, involve an element of chance and incomplete information. Instead of judging outcomes solely by whether they were good or bad, she encourages evaluating the quality of the decision-making process itself. By treating choices as bets, individuals can separate luck from skill and make better, more rational decisions over time.

Annie Duke emphasizes the importance of embracing uncertainty and avoiding the trap of hindsight bias. She provides practical strategies to manage emotions, think probabilistically, and build decision-making groups that foster truth-seeking over agreement. Ultimately, Thinking in Bets offers tools to navigate complexity with greater confidence and clarity¹.